Texans set to pay more for heating this winter

  • Texans are predicted to spend more on heating bills this heating season, with the average heating bill predicted to increase by 19.3% on average from 2025-26.
  • This is 20.5 percentage points above the national average, with the average American set to pay 1.2% less on heating this heating season than in 2025-26.
  • Texas residents are predicted to pay an average of $71.38 per month on heating in 2026-27, up from $59.81 in 2025-26.

With energy prices still at high levels and the cold weather setting in, the Texas electricity comparison website Power Choice Texas has identified the areas of America where residents will spend more to heat their homes from October 2026 to March 2027 than they did a year ago.

This study used the latest data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) on predicted and historic heating bills in each state in the contiguous United States to determine which states will have the largest increase in heating bills over fall and winter compared to last fall and winter. Energy costs were calculated by finding the average cost for heating between October 2025 and March 2026, then multiplying this by EIA forecasts for how much energy costs and demand will change for the coming heating season.

Texans are predicted to have the eighth-largest increase in their heating bills this heating season from the last heating season. The average monthly heating bill in Texas is predicted to increase by 19.3% from $59.81 in the 2025-26 heating season to $71.38 this heating season. In total, average heating bills came to an estimated total of $358.87 from October 2025 to March 2026 in the Lone Star State, and the predicted total Texans will spend on heating from October 2026 to March 2027 is set to be $428.27.

The average increase in heating bills for this heating season in Texas is set to be 20.5 percentage points more than the national average change. The average American heating bill is predicted to fall by 1.2% from $109.07 per month in the 2025-26 heating season, to $107.80 per month in the 2026-27 heating season. The total costs for heating from October 2025 to March 2026 was $654.42 nationally, which is expected to decrease to $646.80 for period October 2026 to March 2027.

CURRENT EDITION: July 9-15, 2026